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Red72
662814.7
757834.5
302635.4
Blue31
253818.5
858618.7
753020.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916002040801001201401607231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
22Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
72Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#13
35.40.4
30.730.2
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 15.1
7530
#28
20.32.0
24.322.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
Second
7578
#15
34.50.4
35.334.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 15.8
8586
#45
18.72.0
17.715.7
Auto2.5
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
6628
#39
14.70.7
12.511.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 3.7
2538
#31
18.52.0
18.916.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed