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Red119
422615.8
703822.9
702856.7
Blue93
288349.5
837220.8
670939.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610570809010011012013014011993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
84Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points0
119Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.6
52.352.9
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 7.2
49.50.8
46.846.0
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
7038
#24
22.90.6
21.522.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 16.8
6709
#19
39.60.8
31.330.5
Auto8.2
Teleop30.5
End1.0
Third
4226
#27
15.80.6
19.119.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End3.0
blue by 5.1
8372
#23
20.81.4
15.814.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed