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Red27
706826.4
38487.0
374015.5
Blue108
565832.4
504132.0
710336.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57100015020027108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+81
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +64
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
0Processor points12
4Net points24
4Algae points36
12Total teleop76
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#6
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
27Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7068
#33
26.41.8
27.025.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
blue by 10.0
7103
#18
36.41.5
25.326.8
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
Second
3740
#44
15.53.0
13.810.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.6
End0.2
blue by 16.9
32.41.5
26.428.0
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Third
3848
#48
7.03.0
12.910.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.6
blue by 25.0
5041
#30
32.01.5
33.134.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed