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Red66
423821.3
858618.7
250940.0
Blue70
842234.2
253818.5
565832.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82920501502002503003506670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+20
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
28Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
16Foul points0
66Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#32
40.01.8
32.130.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
red by 5.8
8422
#10
34.20.6
35.234.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
Second
4238
#21
21.31.8
14.212.4
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End2.9
blue by 11.2
32.40.6
22.822.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Third
8586
#45
18.71.8
23.922.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 0.2
2538
#31
18.50.6
19.018.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned