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Red157
465634.2
423928.6
327683.0
Blue161
825540.1
460768.4
288349.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514750100200157161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points26
23Total auto29
Teleoperatedlevel
24Coral scored#20
88Coral points72
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
116Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#10
6L3#9
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points0
157Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.01.9
66.568.4
Auto12.2
Teleop59.0
End11.8
red by 14.7
68.40.5
65.265.7
Auto14.1
Teleop47.2
End7.1
Second
34.21.7
25.927.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End8.7
blue by 15.3
49.50.7
40.040.7
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Third
4239
#37
28.62.2
24.026.2
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End1.6
blue by 11.5
8255
#11
40.10.7
27.828.5
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned