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Red92
757834.5
285530.9
514312.8
Blue100
253818.5
617535.6
465634.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788620406010012014016092100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points22
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points52
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
55Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
92Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7578
#15
34.50.6
34.935.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 1.1
6175
#14
35.61.3
32.133.4
Auto5.8
Teleop27.6
End2.1
Second
2855
#29
30.90.6
29.229.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 3.3
34.20.8
31.031.7
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End8.7
Third
5143
#36
12.81.1
10.011.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 5.7
2538
#31
18.50.8
16.917.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned