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Red66
703822.9
416610.8
767724.5
Blue175
702856.7
302635.4
888713.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6311905010015020066175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+73
Endgame+83
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +59
11Coral scored#21
38Coral points75
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
0Processor points18
12Net points16
12Algae points34
50Total teleop109
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
0Foul points26
66Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7677
#38
24.50.2
23.523.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 32.2
56.72.8
52.955.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
7038
#24
22.90.2
22.021.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End2.3
blue by 12.5
3026
#13
35.42.8
30.233.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Third
4166
#46
10.80.2
11.811.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 2.7
8887
#42
13.44.6
10.415.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned