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Red125
842234.2
785839.9
753020.3
Blue23
266729.0
38487.0
250326.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1097605010015012523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#2
36Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
40Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
60Foul points2
125Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7858
#17
39.93.1
36.733.6
Auto8.3
Teleop30.6
End1.0
red by 10.8
2667
#43
29.02.9
26.823.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.6
End3.0
Second
8422
#10
34.21.9
33.731.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
red by 7.5
2503
#35
26.74.9
28.323.4
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
Third
7530
#28
20.31.9
22.320.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
red by 13.3
3848
#48
7.04.9
10.05.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed