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Red148
825540.1
725756.0
670939.6
Blue149
837220.8
710336.4
604557.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125100406080140160180200148149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points69
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
18Processor points18
12Net points24
30Algae points42
114Total teleop111
Reef
12L4#10
9L3#5
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
148Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#12
56.01.6
51.453.0
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
blue by 1.7
6045
#20
57.72.9
52.455.3
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Second
8255
#11
40.11.6
31.533.0
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
red by 3.7
7103
#18
36.42.9
26.829.7
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
Third
6709
#19
39.61.6
30.532.1
Auto8.2
Teleop30.5
End1.0
red by 18.8
8372
#23
20.84.9
14.419.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed