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Red92
851625.7
288349.5
423821.3
Blue74
565832.4
887818.7
706826.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104772040601201401601809274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
62Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
92Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.3
46.046.3
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 17.1
32.40.2
28.028.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Second
8516
#25
25.70.3
23.623.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End5.3
blue by 0.6
7068
#33
26.40.2
25.225.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Third
4238
#21
21.30.3
18.518.7
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End2.9
red by 2.5
8878
#26
18.70.2
18.418.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned