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Red74
448015.7
858618.7
302635.4
Blue120
674929.9
702856.7
465634.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6013405010015020074120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+20
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
55Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
74Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#13
35.40.4
33.033.4
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
blue by 21.3
56.70.3
55.755.4
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
8586
#45
18.70.4
17.217.6
Auto2.5
Teleop14.2
End1.9
blue by 15.5
34.20.3
31.731.4
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End8.7
Third
4480
#40
15.70.4
11.411.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 14.2
6749
#16
29.90.5
25.725.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned