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Red139
327823.1
670939.6
710336.4
Blue102
250940.0
253818.5
785839.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8492050150200139102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points53
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
112Total teleop75
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
139Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6709
#19
39.63.9
32.136.0
Auto8.2
Teleop30.5
End1.0
blue by 0.4
2509
#32
40.01.0
36.437.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
Second
7103
#18
36.43.9
29.733.7
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
blue by 3.5
7858
#17
39.91.5
33.635.1
Auto8.3
Teleop30.6
End1.0
Third
3278
#41
23.13.9
18.522.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End0.1
red by 4.6
2538
#31
18.51.0
17.718.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed