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Red53
837220.8
851625.7
888713.4
Blue65
887818.7
514312.8
305840.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68800501001502005365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
26Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
18Cage & park16
18Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
53Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8516
#25
25.70.5
23.923.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End5.3
blue by 14.4
40.10.8
37.736.9
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Second
8372
#23
20.80.8
19.318.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
red by 2.1
8878
#26
18.70.8
18.617.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Third
8887
#42
13.40.8
15.014.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
red by 0.6
5143
#36
12.81.2
11.19.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned