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Red101
472870.0
250326.7
662814.7
Blue125
706826.4
604557.7
825540.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171286080100140160180101125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +40
13Coral scored#22
48Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
72Total teleop112
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
101Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.00.4
67.767.3
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 12.3
6045
#20
57.70.6
55.355.9
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Second
2503
#35
26.70.7
23.422.8
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
blue by 13.4
8255
#11
40.10.6
33.033.6
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
Third
6628
#39
14.70.7
10.29.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 11.7
7068
#33
26.40.6
25.425.9
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed