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Red116
504132.0
250940.0
767724.5
Blue121
253818.5
757834.5
266729.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11386050100150116121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
74Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
116Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#32
40.01.1
37.338.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
red by 5.5
7578
#15
34.52.5
34.136.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
5041
#30
32.01.1
33.534.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.8
red by 3.0
2667
#43
29.02.5
25.127.6
Auto5.4
Teleop20.6
End3.0
Third
7677
#38
24.51.1
25.226.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
red by 6.1
2538
#31
18.52.5
18.721.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned