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Red140
534847.8
423928.6
710336.4
Blue103
250326.7
842234.2
818832.2
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510950150200250140103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
12Processor points6
20Net points24
32Algae points30
97Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
140Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.0
43.545.5
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
red by 13.6
8422
#10
34.20.9
33.534.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
Second
7103
#18
36.42.0
33.735.7
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
red by 4.2
8188
#34
32.20.9
30.631.5
Auto6.2
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Third
4239
#37
28.62.9
23.726.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End1.6
red by 1.9
2503
#35
26.71.3
22.824.1
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned