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Red151
288349.5
305840.1
604557.7
Blue96
374015.5
302635.4
285530.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1667505010015020025015196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
114Total teleop73
Reef
11L4#7
5L3#5
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
151Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#20
57.70.3
55.956.1
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
red by 22.3
3026
#13
35.41.2
33.434.6
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Second
49.50.3
48.348.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 18.6
2855
#29
30.91.2
29.730.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
40.10.3
36.937.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
red by 24.6
3740
#44
15.51.7
12.414.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned