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Red110
472870.0
422615.8
565832.4
Blue49
753020.3
888713.4
887818.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13947010015020011049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points11
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
18Processor points6
8Net points0
26Algae points6
77Total teleop17
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points6
110Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.00.3
67.367.0
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 49.7
7530
#28
20.30.6
20.119.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
Second
32.40.3
29.529.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
red by 13.7
8878
#26
18.70.6
17.817.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Third
4226
#27
15.80.3
17.917.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End3.0
red by 2.3
8887
#42
13.40.9
14.213.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned