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Red155
250326.7
703822.9
460768.4
Blue100
250940.0
374015.5
753020.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13775050100150200155100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+51Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
24Coral scored#14
85Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
105Total teleop65
Reef
13L4#5
5L3#7
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
155Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.41.5
66.467.9
Auto14.1
Teleop47.2
End7.1
red by 28.4
2509
#32
40.01.1
38.539.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
Second
2503
#35
26.72.0
24.126.1
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
red by 6.4
7530
#28
20.31.1
19.520.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
Third
7038
#24
22.91.5
21.422.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 7.4
3740
#44
15.51.4
14.115.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned