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Red135
266729.0
604557.7
851625.7
Blue156
702856.7
288349.5
617535.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11916450100150200250135156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
17Coral scored#24
61Coral points86
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
103Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
135Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#20
57.71.5
56.157.6
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
red by 1.0
56.70.6
56.356.9
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
2667
#43
29.01.5
27.629.0
Auto5.4
Teleop20.6
End3.0
blue by 20.5
49.50.6
48.549.1
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Third
8516
#25
25.71.5
24.325.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End5.3
blue by 9.8
6175
#14
35.60.8
34.335.1
Auto5.8
Teleop27.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned