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Red104
837220.8
302635.4
624422.8
Blue80
818832.2
423821.3
38487.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9575020406012014016010480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
68Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
104Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#13
35.40.7
34.635.3
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 3.2
8188
#34
32.20.4
31.531.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Second
6244
#47
22.80.9
21.522.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End1.8
red by 1.6
4238
#21
21.30.4
20.921.3
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End2.9
Third
8372
#23
20.80.9
20.020.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
red by 13.9
3848
#48
7.00.5
6.57.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed