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Red99
825540.1
565832.4
250940.0
Blue122
288349.5
624422.8
710336.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351255010015020099122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+39
Endgame+35
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
41Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +23
12Foul points0
99Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8255
#11
40.10.6
40.740.1
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
blue by 9.4
49.50.3
49.549.8
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
2509
#32
40.00.6
40.640.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
red by 3.6
7103
#18
36.40.3
36.436.7
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
Third
32.40.6
33.032.4
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
red by 9.6
6244
#47
22.80.4
22.823.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End1.8