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Red202
327683.0
472870.0
674929.9
Blue112
460768.4
250326.7
305840.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201143100250202112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
11Net algae#4
18Processor points12
44Net points16
62Algae points28
136Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
202Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.4
82.883.2
Auto12.2
Teleop59.0
End11.8
red by 14.7
68.40.5
68.868.3
Auto14.1
Teleop47.2
End7.1
Second
70.00.4
69.770.1
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 29.8
40.10.5
40.540.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Third
6749
#16
29.90.5
29.630.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 3.2
2503
#35
26.70.7
27.226.5
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3