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Red206
327683.0
472870.0
674929.9
Blue150
785839.9
842234.2
302635.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20611050150250300206150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +50
29Coral scored#16
104Coral points56
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
18Processor points24
28Net points20
46Algae points44
150Total teleop100
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#6
11L2#5
8L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
206Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.6
82.583.0
Auto12.2
Teleop59.0
End11.8
red by 43.2
7858
#17
39.91.1
39.740.8
Auto8.3
Teleop30.6
End1.0
Second
70.00.6
69.469.9
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 34.6
3026
#13
35.40.9
35.336.2
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Third
6749
#16
29.90.7
29.229.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 4.3
8422
#10
34.20.9
34.135.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3