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Red121
887818.7
725756.0
423928.6
Blue147
534847.8
465634.2
670939.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713150150200121147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
67Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
121Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#12
56.01.5
54.856.3
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
red by 8.2
47.82.2
45.547.7
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Second
4239
#37
28.62.0
26.628.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End1.6
blue by 11.1
6709
#19
39.62.2
37.039.2
Auto8.2
Teleop30.5
End1.0
Third
8878
#26
18.71.5
17.218.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 15.5
34.22.2
31.633.8
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned