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Red82
702856.7
753020.3
725756.0
Blue125
825540.1
565832.4
250940.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451165010020082125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+21
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
20Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
58Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
82Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.1
56.955.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 16.6
8255
#11
40.10.3
39.640.0
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
Second
7257
#12
56.01.1
56.355.1
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
red by 16.0
2509
#32
40.00.3
39.539.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
Third
7530
#28
20.31.1
20.519.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
blue by 12.1
32.40.3
32.032.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7