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Red83
785839.9
842234.2
302635.4
Blue120
288349.5
624422.8
710336.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512905010015020025030083120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+47
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +39
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
47Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
83Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7858
#17
39.91.0
40.839.9
Auto8.3
Teleop30.6
End1.0
blue by 9.6
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
3026
#13
35.40.8
36.235.4
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
blue by 1.0
7103
#18
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
Third
8422
#10
34.20.8
35.034.2
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
red by 11.4
6244
#47
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End1.8