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Red66
422511.0
266732.6
477840.0
Blue32
59968.5
466418.5
284624.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78690501001502002503006632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
48Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
66Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#27
40.01.0
24.323.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
red by 15.5
2846
#36
24.43.3
19.015.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
Second
2667
#21
32.61.0
22.721.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
red by 14.1
4664
#48
18.54.1
19.715.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Third
4225
#39
11.01.0
19.118.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.8
red by 2.5
5996
#50
8.54.1
22.017.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed