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Red133
284624.4
477840.0
375511.7
Blue142
284768.9
392626.3
220724.2
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581390100150200133142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points70
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
111Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
133Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#27
40.05.9
23.429.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
blue by 28.9
68.90.8
63.764.4
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
Second
2846
#36
24.44.3
15.820.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
blue by 1.8
3926
#29
26.31.1
26.527.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.4
End3.5
Third
3755
#51
11.75.9
16.622.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 12.5
2207
#23
24.21.1
21.522.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned