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Red158
857057.7
249829.8
379246.7
Blue80
422511.0
301831.5
251315.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10665020408012014016015880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+42Teleop
+60Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
96Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#3
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
18Foul points0
158Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.74.4
30.034.3
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
red by 26.2
3018
#30
31.50.8
26.226.9
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
Second
46.72.9
33.936.8
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
red by 30.9
2513
#41
15.90.6
12.412.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
Third
2498
#14
29.84.4
19.724.1
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
red by 18.8
4225
#39
11.00.8
18.118.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed