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Red110
345421.4
249158.7
527111.3
Blue129
554116.6
222057.3
389143.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9791406080120140110129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points69
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
69Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#30
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
110Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.71.7
46.348.0
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
red by 1.4
2220
#18
57.33.0
43.146.1
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
Second
3454
#42
21.42.4
24.426.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
blue by 22.0
3891
#24
43.45.0
27.032.0
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
Third
5271
#46
11.32.4
18.020.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 5.3
5541
#49
16.65.0
14.019.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed