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Red94
266732.6
466330.7
218132.3
Blue46
759412.3
468723.0
285526.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8555020401001201401609446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
60Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
12Foul points6
94Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2667
#21
32.60.5
21.722.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
red by 6.3
2855
#15
26.31.5
25.524.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Second
32.30.4
25.025.3
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End5.1
red by 9.3
4687
#34
23.01.5
17.516.0
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Third
4663
#19
30.70.5
24.725.2
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
red by 18.4
7594
#37
12.31.1
7.36.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed