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Red64
784920.3
245028.8
422917.3
Blue55
706824.9
251112.1
226434.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62860501001506455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+15Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points12
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
54Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
64Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2450
#10
28.80.6
18.318.9
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
blue by 5.9
2264
#25
34.61.9
31.129.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8
Second
7849
#47
20.30.8
21.722.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
blue by 4.6
7068
#33
24.91.9
26.925.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
Third
4229
#43
17.30.8
17.017.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 5.2
2511
#44
12.11.9
14.312.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed