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Qual 282025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red106
250239.5
706824.9
285526.3
Blue159
604550.3
249829.8
222057.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8412550100150200106159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+61
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
14Coral scored#26
52Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
72Total teleop123
Reef
5L4#15
7L3#6
2L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#37
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
106Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#12
39.51.6
28.2→29.8
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
blue by 17.9
2220
#18
57.33.2
48.3→51.5
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
Second
2855
#15
26.32.7
24.9→27.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
blue by 24.0
6045
#26
50.35.4
38.3→43.6
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
Third
7068
#33
24.92.7
28.6→31.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
blue by 4.8
2498
#14
29.85.4
24.2→29.5
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed