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Red128
249158.7
374518.1
466330.7
Blue113
284768.9
345421.4
251315.9
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111950150200128113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
93Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#9
3L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
128Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.9
48.349.1
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
blue by 10.2
68.90.5
64.564.0
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
Second
4663
#19
30.71.4
26.127.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
red by 9.3
3454
#42
21.40.8
24.824.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
3745
#32
18.11.4
18.019.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End2.2
red by 2.3
2513
#41
15.90.5
14.013.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned