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Qual 262025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red104
247243.7
785031.8
759412.3
Blue136
251112.1
621729.6
477840.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7270020406080100120140160104136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+10
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
95Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
104Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#35
43.72.2
34.3→36.5
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
red by 3.8
4778
#27
40.06.3
30.4→36.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
Second
7850
#31
31.83.3
18.2→21.6
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End2.3
red by 2.2
6217
#4
29.63.8
19.4→23.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Third
7594
#37
12.32.0
10.4→12.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End-0.2
red by 0.2
2511
#44
12.16.3
12.3→18.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned