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Red65
468723.0
422917.3
690925.3
Blue41
220724.2
784920.3
253819.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6074020401001201401606541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
65Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6909
#13
25.30.8
21.822.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 1.1
2207
#23
24.23.0
22.619.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End0.5
Second
4687
#34
23.00.8
16.016.8
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 2.6
7849
#47
20.33.0
22.519.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Third
4229
#43
17.30.8
17.818.5
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 1.7
2538
#16
19.03.0
17.814.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed