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Qual 242025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red86
546432.5
527111.3
303821.4
Blue145
857057.7
245028.8
254933.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848860708010011012013014086145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
64Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points30
86Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
#38
32.50.0
29.1→29.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
blue by 25.2
8570
#2
57.72.9
34.3→37.2
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
Second
3038
#40
21.40.0
25.2→25.2
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 12.3
2549
#22
33.72.9
24.8→27.7
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Third
5271
#46
11.30.0
20.4→20.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 17.5
2450
#10
28.81.9
18.9→20.8
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned