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Qual 302025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red82
222731.4
823411.4
468723.0
Blue77
422917.3
554116.6
857057.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67850501001508277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
48Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
14Foul points-4
82Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2227
#17
31.40.6
24.0→24.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.5
End4.2
blue by 26.3
8570
#2
57.70.6
37.2→37.8
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
Second
4687
#34
23.00.6
16.8→17.4
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
red by 5.6
4229
#43
17.30.6
18.5→19.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Third
8234
#45
11.40.6
21.6→22.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
blue by 5.2
5541
#49
16.60.6
20.1→20.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned