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Qual 312025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red81
527111.3
784920.3
785031.8
Blue119
301831.5
546432.5
266732.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679905015081119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+38
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
58Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points0
81Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7850
#31
31.80.6
21.6→22.1
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End2.3
blue by 0.8
2667
#21
32.62.9
26.7→29.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Second
7849
#47
20.30.6
19.5→20.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End0.1
blue by 12.2
5464
#38
32.51.8
29.2→30.9
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Third
5271
#46
11.30.6
20.4→21.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 20.3
3018
#30
31.52.9
28.0→31.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned