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Qual 322025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red62
253819.0
308247.4
251112.1
Blue111
389143.4
375511.7
282339.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781065015062111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
52Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points14
62Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#5
47.42.3
35.6→33.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.5
End2.6
red by 4.0
3891
#24
43.40.7
36.5→35.8
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
Second
2538
#16
19.02.3
14.8→12.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
blue by 20.7
2823
#7
39.80.4
31.7→31.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Third
2511
#44
12.12.3
18.6→16.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 0.4
3755
#51
11.70.7
20.7→20.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed