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Red134
247243.7
220724.2
303821.4
Blue109
226434.6
379246.7
466418.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103103708090110120130140134109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+35Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +44
26Coral scored#14
95Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
119Total teleop75
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#3
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
134Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#35
43.71.8
36.538.2
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
blue by 3.0
46.70.1
39.039.1
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
2207
#23
24.22.9
19.622.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End0.5
blue by 10.4
2264
#25
34.60.2
28.528.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8
Third
3038
#40
21.42.9
25.228.1
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 2.9
4664
#48
18.50.2
15.715.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned