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Red119
254933.7
392626.3
329750.8
Blue92
388343.6
422511.0
690925.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123795010015020011992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
85Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
119Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.0
47.348.4
Auto11.4
Teleop31.3
End8.1
red by 7.2
3883
#11
43.61.1
31.832.8
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
Second
2549
#22
33.71.7
27.729.4
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 8.4
6909
#13
25.31.8
22.524.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Third
3926
#29
26.31.7
25.627.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.4
End3.5
red by 15.3
4225
#39
11.01.8
18.920.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned