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Red118
417441.8
422917.3
250239.5
Blue124
249158.7
477840.0
249829.8
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9413150150200118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
82Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#6
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
118Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#20
41.82.3
39.641.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End4.5
blue by 16.9
58.70.0
49.149.2
Auto14.1
Teleop37.8
End6.7
Second
2502
#12
39.51.4
29.831.2
Auto9.2
Teleop24.1
End6.2
blue by 0.5
4778
#27
40.00.0
36.736.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.4
End0.7
Third
4229
#43
17.32.3
19.121.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.8
End1.8
blue by 12.4
2498
#14
29.80.0
29.529.6
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed