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Red92
284624.4
706824.9
785031.8
Blue56
251315.9
823411.4
604550.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90896070801001109256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
69Total teleop34
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
8Foul points0
92Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7850
#31
31.80.5
22.121.6
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End2.3
blue by 18.4
6045
#26
50.33.8
43.639.8
Auto7.6
Teleop39.5
End3.2
Second
7068
#33
24.90.5
31.330.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.0
End3.8
red by 9.1
2513
#41
15.92.3
13.511.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.8
Third
2846
#36
24.40.3
24.223.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.5
red by 13.0
8234
#45
11.43.8
22.218.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed