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Red124
245028.8
301831.5
222057.3
Blue52
468723.0
375511.7
266732.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124715010015020012452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+68Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +61
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
12Processor points6
32Net points8
44Algae points14
102Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
124Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#18
57.30.6
51.552.1
Auto12.2
Teleop44.6
End0.6
red by 24.7
2667
#21
32.62.6
29.727.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.8
End2.8
Second
3018
#30
31.51.1
31.032.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.7
End2.2
red by 8.6
4687
#34
23.02.6
17.414.8
Auto2.1
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Third
2450
#10
28.80.6
23.824.5
Auto3.6
Teleop22.1
End3.1
red by 17.0
3755
#51
11.72.6
20.017.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed