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Red122
363036.8
554116.6
226434.6
Blue156
284768.9
253819.0
379246.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9514750200122156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points28
22Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#19
64Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
90Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#8
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
4Foul points12
122Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#28
36.81.0
34.435.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End5.1
blue by 32.1
68.90.5
64.064.5
Auto18.4
Teleop42.5
End7.9
Second
2264
#25
34.61.7
28.730.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.3
End6.8
blue by 12.1
46.70.5
39.139.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Third
5541
#49
16.61.7
20.622.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End0.2
blue by 2.4
2538
#16
19.00.9
12.513.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned