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Red124
220724.2
546432.5
388343.6
Blue49
345421.4
303821.4
218132.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039340608012014016012449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+75Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +57
17Coral scored#6
62Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
86Total teleop29
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
18Foul points0
124Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#11
43.61.3
32.834.1
Auto6.8
Teleop28.6
End8.2
red by 11.3
32.32.1
27.825.8
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Second
5464
#38
32.51.3
30.932.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
red by 11.1
3454
#42
21.43.4
24.020.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
2207
#23
24.22.2
22.524.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End0.5
red by 2.8
3038
#40
21.43.4
28.124.7
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed