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Red63
59968.5
254933.7
759412.3
Blue106
222731.4
282339.8
285526.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659805015063106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points29
17Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
42Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points18
63Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#22
33.70.0
29.429.4
Auto6.5
Teleop25.1
End2.1
blue by 6.1
39.80.3
31.331.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Second
7594
#37
12.30.0
12.412.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End-0.2
blue by 19.1
2227
#17
31.40.5
24.625.1
Auto5.7
Teleop21.5
End4.2
Third
5996
#50
8.50.0
18.018.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 17.8
2855
#15
26.30.5
27.628.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned