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Qual 422025 Minnesota 10,000 Lakes Regional
Red123
690925.3
857057.7
466330.7
Blue83
247243.7
389143.4
466418.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103103809010011012013012383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
82Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
123Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8570
#2
57.73.7
37.8→41.5
Auto10.2
Teleop38.9
End8.6
red by 14.0
2472
#35
43.70.5
38.2→37.8
Auto4.2
Teleop36.1
End3.4
Second
4663
#19
30.73.7
27.5→31.2
Auto5.0
Teleop24.1
End1.6
blue by 12.7
3891
#24
43.40.8
35.8→35.0
Auto10.6
Teleop30.8
End2.1
Third
6909
#13
25.33.7
24.3→28.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 6.8
4664
#48
18.50.8
15.9→15.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed